The Idea Maze

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Description
“A good founder is capable of anticipating which turns lead to treasure and which lead to certain death. A bad founder is just running to the entrance of (say) the “movies/music/filesharing/P2P” maze or the “photosharing” maze without any sense for the history of the industry, the players in the maze, the casualties of the past, and the technologies that are likely to move walls and change assumptions.”  — Balaji S. Srinivasan
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Source
 Balaji S. Srinivasan via "13 Mental Models Every Founder Should Know"