Category
General Thinking Tools
Description
“A process of analyzing possible future events by considering alternative possible outcomes.” (related: “Skate to where the puck is going.”; black swan theory — “a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight.”)
Person
Resource Datasbase
Source
Gabriel Weinberg's Mental Models I Find Repeatedly Useful